Investor dashboards · June 2026 data
Undervalued and overvalued housing markets
Each of 373 covered metros scored on two percentiles — deviation from its own 2000–2019 house-price trend, and median list price versus local household income — then averaged. The extremes on both ends, with the exact formula below the lists.
Lake Charles, LA
Enid, OK
Altoona, PA
Houma, LA
Wheeling, WV
Elmira, NY
Williamsport, PA
Beckley, WV
Odessa, TX
Charleston, WV
Watertown, NY
Baltimore, MD
Beaumont, TX
Alexandria, LA
Huntington, WV
Davenport, IA
Shreveport, LA
Lubbock, TX
Johnstown, PA
Springfield, IL
Traverse City, MI
Athens, GA
Morristown, TN
Merced, CA
Gainesville, GA
Naples, FL
Boise, ID
Las Vegas, NV
Reno, NV
Salinas, CA
El Centro, CA
Carson City, NV
Lafayette, IN
Coeur d'Alene, ID
Twin Falls, ID
Port St. Lucie, FL
St. George, UT
Hilton Head, SC
Knoxville, TN
Sebastian, FL
The formula, exactly
For each of the 373 metros with both a long-run house price index and a published median household income, we compute two percentile ranks and average them:
1. Trend deviation — how far the metro's latest long-run house price index sits above or below its own 2000–2019 log-linear trend. A metro 15% below its long-run trend ranks near the top; one 100% above ranks near the bottom. This self-referencing design means cheap and expensive metros are judged against their own history, not each other's price levels.
2. Price-to-income — median listing price (June 2026) ÷ the 2023 median household income. Lower multiples rank higher.
Blend = the mean of the two percentiles (0–100). It is closely related to — but simpler than — the Value subscore shown on each metro page, which our composite Investor Score weights at 20%. "Undervalued" here means statistically cheap versus its own history and local incomes; energy-belt metros (the Dakotas, West Texas) top the list precisely because their booms ended — cheapness can be earned. Cross-check momentum before reading it as a buy signal.