Metropolitan market · California · June 2026 data

Merced Real Estate Market

The Merced, CA housing market as of June 2026 — real median listing price, market pace, inventory and supply, from public records and industry data. Prepare a client-ready Merced report in a click.

Median listing price
$453,422
▼ 0.4% YoY
Median $ / sq ft
$265
1,750 sq ft median
Median days on market
50
June 2026
Active listings
474
For sale now
New listings
210
June 2026
Listings with price cuts
15%
Share of active
Median sale price (closed)
$427,500
▲ 0.2% YoY · closed sales
Sale-to-list ratio
98.9%
Closed sales
Homes sold / month
150
Closed sales
Median listing price trend
$467K$457K$447K$437K Q3'24Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26

Median listing price, Merced CA · trailing 8 quarters · source: public records and industry data.

The 10-year view
$471K$425K$378K$332K '17'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26

10-year median listing price, Merced CA · June of each year, 2017–2026 · source: public records and industry data.

Supply snapshot
Active listings
474
New this month
210
Pending
241
Price-reduced
70

As of June 2026, the median home listed in Merced, CA asks $453,422 — down 0.4% from a year ago. Homes are taking a median of 50 days to go under contract, and 15% of the 474 active listings have taken a price cut, which points to a balanced market. Figures cover the Merced, CA metro area. Based on public records and industry data, updated monthly.

Investment snapshot
Investor Score
52/100
#414 of 932 covered metros
12-month outlook
+1.0%
Flat · model output, not advice
Price volatility
High
σ 15.1% · 20-yr price-index swings
Momentum
67
Value
11
Rental yield
54
Supply risk
36
Market heat
65

Merced scores 52/100 on our composite Investor Score (#414 of 932 covered metros), a percentile blend of momentum, value, rental yield, supply and market-heat readings; the metro's long-run house price index has it up 38% over five years and +99% over ten, leaving prices 91% above its own 2000–2019 trend; at the published FY2026 fair market rent of $1,503/mo for a two-bedroom, the gross rental yield on the median listing is about 4.0%; active inventory sits at 71% of its June 2019 level, so supply is still below pre-pandemic norms; listing prices are down 0.4% year over year; all against a national 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 6.43% (national weekly average, 2026-07-02).

Scores are percentile ranks (0–100) across all covered U.S. metros, computed from the public data cited on this page — formulas here. They are data-derived opinions, not investment advice. See how Merced ranks on the trending markets index.

What mortgage rates do to the payment
If rates fall 1% · 5.43%
$2,044/mo
−$232/mo vs today
At today's rate · 6.43%
$2,276/mo
National weekly average
If rates rise 1% · 7.43%
$2,519/mo
+$243/mo vs today

Principal & interest on the $453,422 median listing with 20% down and a 30-year fixed loan — excludes taxes, insurance and HOA. Current rate: 6.43% (national weekly average, 2026-07-02). Model a full deal in the deal analyzer.

Growth, supply pipeline & risk
Building permits (2025)
747
▲ 62.7% vs 2024
2.6 per 1,000 residents
Net migration (2022–2023)
-699
▼ people, via tax-return records
net income flow −$50.7M/yr
Job growth (YoY)
+2.9%
▲ 78.5k nonfarm jobs · May 2026
Natural-hazard risk
Relatively High
National hazard index · top hazard: Drought

Based on public government records — building-permit, tax-return migration, employment and natural-hazard statistics, aggregated to the metro. Details on /methodology.

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Merced market FAQs

What is the median home price in Merced?
As of June 2026, the median listing price in Merced, CA is $453,422, down 0.4% year over year (source: public records and industry data). Figures cover the Merced, CA metro area.
How fast are homes selling in Merced?
The median property in Merced spends 50 days on the market, with 474 homes actively listed and 15% of them carrying a price cut — a balanced market by pace.
Who are the top real estate agents in Merced?
See WealthyBud directories for the top-producing agents, teams and brokerages serving Merced and the wider California market.
Based on public records and industry data, June 2026 — see our methodology for how every figure is computed. Figures cover the Merced, CA metro area. Figures change monthly — verify current conditions with a local agent or MLS. Portions of market data courtesy of Realtor.com and Redfin; additional statistics from U.S. government sources.