Metropolitan market · Tennessee · September 2026 data

What is the McMinnville, TN real estate market doing?

As of September 2026, the median home listed in McMinnville, TN asks $338,724, up 4.7% year over year. Homes spend a median of 66 days on market, with 214 active listings and 24% carrying a price cut; pending contracts equal 25% of active listings, and inventory sits at 178% of the same month in 2019 — a buyer's market. Figures come from public records and industry data, updated monthly.

Median listing price
$338,724
▲ 4.7% YoY
Median $ / sq ft
$208
1,781 sq ft median
Median days on market
66
September 2026
Active listings
214
For sale now
New listings
46
September 2026
Listings with price cuts
24%
Share of active
Inventory vs 2019
178%
Same month, 2019 = 100
Pending / active
25%
Contract activity
Median sale price (closed)
$284,900
▼ 3.8% YoY · closed sales · July 2026
Sale-to-list ratio
97.0%
Closed sales · July 2026, seasonally adjusted
Homes sold / month
42
Closed sales · July 2026, seasonally adjusted

What is the McMinnville, TN housing market doing right now?

The McMinnville, TN housing market lists at a $338,724 median as of September 2026, up 4.7% year over year, with a 66-day median market time and 214 homes for sale (24% with a price cut). Active inventory is 178% of the 2019 level, reading as a buyer's market under WealthyBud's published buyer/seller rule.

McMinnville housing market statistics

The table summarizes McMinnville's key housing figures for September 2026 — median listing and closed-sale prices, market pace, inventory and rental yield — each computed from public records and industry data. Closed-sale figures are Redfin's July 2026 data, the latest settled month Redfin reports for McMinnville.

McMinnville, TN housing market at a glance — September 2026
MetricLatestDetail
Median listing price$338,724+4.7% YoY
Median price per sq ft$2081,781 sq ft median
Median days on market66-6% YoY
Active listings214-10% YoY
New listings this month46September 2026
Listings with a price cut24%Share of active
Median sale price (closed)$284,900-3.8% YoY · closed sales, July 2026
Sale-to-list ratio97.0%Closed sales, July 2026, seasonally adjusted
Pending-to-active ratio25.2%54 pending
Inventory vs 2019178%Active listings vs same month in 2019

How have home prices changed in McMinnville?

McMinnville home prices are up 4.7% year over year and -3.2% month over month as of September 2026, at a $338,724 median listing price. The chart tracks the trailing eight-quarter trend in the metro's median asking price.

$341K$335K$328K$321K Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26

Median listing price, McMinnville TN · trailing 8 quarters · source: public records and industry data.

The 10-year view
$376K$316K$256K$195K '17'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26

10-year median listing price, McMinnville TN · June of each year, 2017–2026 · source: public records and industry data.

How much inventory is on the market in McMinnville?

McMinnville has 214 active listings, 46 new this month, 54 pending as of September 2026. About 24% of active listings have cut their price, and inventory sits at 178% of its 2019 level — a buyer's market by pace.

Active listings
214
New this month
46
Pending
54
Price-reduced
51

Is McMinnville a good real estate investment?

McMinnville scores 27/100 on WealthyBud's composite Investor Score, ranking #856 of 933 covered U.S. metros as of September 2026. The score blends price momentum, value, rental yield, supply and market heat into one percentile. It is a research opinion, not advice.

Investor Score
27/100
#856 of 933 covered metros
12-month outlook
-3.3%
▼ Cooling · model output, not advice
Momentum
55
Value
23
Rental yield
13
Supply risk
95
Market heat
32

McMinnville scores 27/100 on our composite Investor Score (#856 of 933 covered metros), a percentile blend of momentum, value, rental yield, supply and market-heat readings; active inventory sits at 178% of its June 2019 level, so supply is fully rebuilt past pre-pandemic norms; listing prices are up 4.7% year over year; all against a national 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 7.28% (national weekly average, 2026-10-01).

Scores are percentile ranks (0–100) across all covered U.S. metros, computed from the public data cited on this page — formulas here. They are data-derived opinions, not investment advice. See how McMinnville ranks on the trending markets index.

How much is a monthly mortgage payment in McMinnville?

A home at McMinnville's $338,724 median listing runs about $1,854 a month in principal and interest — 20% down on a 30-year fixed loan at the current 7.28% national average rate. Taxes, insurance and HOA are extra.

If rates fall 1% · 6.28%
$1,674/mo
−$180/mo vs today
At today's rate · 7.28%
$1,854/mo
National weekly average
If rates rise 1% · 8.28%
$2,041/mo
+$187/mo vs today

Principal & interest on the $338,724 median listing with 20% down and a 30-year fixed loan — excludes taxes, insurance and HOA. Current rate: 7.28% (national weekly average, 2026-10-01). Model a full deal in the deal analyzer.

How much income do you need to buy a home in McMinnville?

To buy McMinnville’s $338,724 median listing with 20% down, a household needs about $85,000 a year in gross income, keeping principal, interest and property tax ($1,981/mo) at 28% of income. That is 1.6× the area’s $54,088 median household income, so a typical McMinnville household cannot afford the median listing on these terms.

Income needed to buy the median home in McMinnville, TN — September 2026
ItemAmountBasis
Median listing price$338,724September 2026
Down payment (20%)$67,745Assumption
Principal & interest (7.28%, 30-yr fixed)$1,854/moRate as of 2026-10-01
Property tax (0.45% effective rate)$127/moCensus ACS
Income needed (28% rule)$85,000Gross household income / yr
Median household income$54,088Census ACS 2023 ACS 5-year

Excludes homeowners insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance, so the true income needed is higher. Compare every market in the income-needed ranking and the price-to-income ranking.

What is driving the McMinnville housing market?

Longer-run demand in McMinnville shows up in 271 homes permitted in 2025; net migration of +581 residents. Natural-hazard risk rates Relatively Low. These federal supply-pipeline, migration and jobs signals shape where prices head next.

Building permits (2025)
271
▼ 3.9% vs 2024
6.5 per 1,000 residents
Net migration (2022–2023)
+581
▲ people, via tax-return records
net income flow +$31.9M/yr
Natural-hazard risk
Relatively Low
National hazard index · top hazard: Riverine flooding

Based on public government records — building-permit, tax-return migration, employment and natural-hazard statistics, aggregated to the metro. Details on /methodology.

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McMinnville housing market FAQ

What is the median home price in McMinnville?
As of September 2026, the median listing price in McMinnville, TN is $338,724, up 4.7% year over year (source: public records and industry data). Figures cover the McMinnville, TN metro area.
How much does it cost to buy a home in McMinnville?
The median home listed in McMinnville asks $338,724 as of September 2026. With 20% down on a 30-year fixed loan at the current 7.28% national average rate, that runs about $1,854 a month in principal and interest, before taxes, insurance and HOA.
How fast are homes selling in McMinnville?
The median property in McMinnville spends 66 days on the market, with 214 homes actively listed and 24% of them carrying a price cut — a buyer's market as of September 2026.
Is it a buyer's or seller's market in McMinnville?
With a median 66 days on market and 24% of active listings carrying a price cut, pending contracts at 25% of active listings, McMinnville reads as a buyer's market as of September 2026. Labels use WealthyBud's published DOM / sale-to-list / price-cut / pending rule. Conditions shift monthly.
Is McMinnville a good place to invest in real estate?
McMinnville scores 27/100 on WealthyBud's Investor Score, ranking #856 of 933 covered U.S. metros as of September 2026. The score blends price momentum, value, rental yield, supply and market heat. It is a data-derived research opinion, not investment advice.
Who are the top real estate agents in McMinnville?
See WealthyBud directories for the top-producing agents, teams and brokerages serving McMinnville and the wider Tennessee market, ranked by recent sales from public profile data.
Based on public records and industry data, September 2026 — see our methodology for how every figure is computed. Figures cover the McMinnville, TN metro area. Figures change monthly — verify current conditions with a local agent or MLS. Portions of market data courtesy of Realtor.com and Redfin; additional statistics from U.S. government sources.

More Tennessee housing markets

Marcus Bell Real Estate Market Analyst

Marcus Bell leads market and career research at WealthyBud, turning public housing and labor data into plain-English answers for investors and agents. He focuses on U.S. metro housing markets, agent economics and licensing.

Editorial persona: WealthyBud bylines are editorial personas, not real individuals. Pages are produced by the WealthyBud research team from the public data cited on each page.