Metropolitan market · Arizona · September 2026 data

What is the Nogales, AZ real estate market doing?

As of September 2026, the median home listed in Nogales, AZ asks $356,250, down 1.0% year over year. Homes spend a median of 88 days on market, with 284 active listings and 17% carrying a price cut; pending contracts equal 20% of active listings, and inventory sits at 118% of the same month in 2019 — a buyer's market. Figures come from public records and industry data, updated monthly.

Median listing price
$356,250
▼ 1.0% YoY
Median $ / sq ft
$197
1,814 sq ft median
Median days on market
88
September 2026
Active listings
284
For sale now
New listings
60
September 2026
Listings with price cuts
17%
Share of active
Inventory vs 2019
118%
Same month, 2019 = 100
Pending / active
20%
Contract activity
Median sale price (closed)
$295,000
▲ 9.3% YoY · closed sales · July 2026
Sale-to-list ratio
97.0%
Closed sales · July 2026, seasonally adjusted
Homes sold / month
41
Closed sales · July 2026, seasonally adjusted

What is the Nogales, AZ housing market doing right now?

The Nogales, AZ housing market lists at a $356,250 median as of September 2026, down 1.0% year over year, with an 88-day median market time and 284 homes for sale (17% with a price cut). Active inventory is 118% of the 2019 level, reading as a buyer's market under WealthyBud's published buyer/seller rule.

Nogales housing market statistics

The table summarizes Nogales's key housing figures for September 2026 — median listing and closed-sale prices, market pace, inventory and rental yield — each computed from public records and industry data. Closed-sale figures are Redfin's July 2026 data, the latest settled month Redfin reports for Nogales.

Nogales, AZ housing market at a glance — September 2026
MetricLatestDetail
Median listing price$356,250-1.0% YoY
Median price per sq ft$1971,814 sq ft median
Median days on market88-7% YoY
Active listings284+11% YoY
New listings this month60September 2026
Listings with a price cut17%Share of active
Median sale price (closed)$295,000+9.3% YoY · closed sales, July 2026
Sale-to-list ratio97.0%Closed sales, July 2026, seasonally adjusted
Pending-to-active ratio20.1%57 pending
Inventory vs 2019118%Active listings vs same month in 2019

How have home prices changed in Nogales?

Nogales home prices are down 1.0% year over year and -5.0% month over month as of September 2026, at a $356,250 median listing price. The chart tracks the trailing eight-quarter trend in the metro's median asking price.

$392K$383K$374K$365K Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26

Median listing price, Nogales AZ · trailing 8 quarters · source: public records and industry data.

The 10-year view
$464K$421K$378K$335K '17'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26

10-year median listing price, Nogales AZ · June of each year, 2017–2026 · source: public records and industry data.

How much inventory is on the market in Nogales?

Nogales has 284 active listings, 60 new this month, 57 pending as of September 2026. About 17% of active listings have cut their price, and inventory sits at 118% of its 2019 level — a buyer's market by pace.

Active listings
284
New this month
60
Pending
57
Price-reduced
47

Is Nogales a good real estate investment?

Nogales scores 26/100 on WealthyBud's composite Investor Score, ranking #874 of 933 covered U.S. metros as of September 2026. The score blends price momentum, value, rental yield, supply and market heat into one percentile. It is a research opinion, not advice.

Investor Score
26/100
#874 of 933 covered metros
12-month outlook
-2.8%
▼ Cooling · model output, not advice
Momentum
49
Value
19
Rental yield
10
Supply risk
74
Market heat
18

Nogales scores 26/100 on our composite Investor Score (#874 of 933 covered metros), a percentile blend of momentum, value, rental yield, supply and market-heat readings; active inventory sits at 118% of its June 2019 level, so supply is fully rebuilt past pre-pandemic norms; listing prices are down 1.0% year over year; all against a national 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 7.28% (national weekly average, 2026-10-01).

Scores are percentile ranks (0–100) across all covered U.S. metros, computed from the public data cited on this page — formulas here. They are data-derived opinions, not investment advice. See how Nogales ranks on the trending markets index.

How much is a monthly mortgage payment in Nogales?

A home at Nogales's $356,250 median listing runs about $1,950 a month in principal and interest — 20% down on a 30-year fixed loan at the current 7.28% national average rate. Taxes, insurance and HOA are extra.

If rates fall 1% · 6.28%
$1,760/mo
−$190/mo vs today
At today's rate · 7.28%
$1,950/mo
National weekly average
If rates rise 1% · 8.28%
$2,147/mo
+$197/mo vs today

Principal & interest on the $356,250 median listing with 20% down and a 30-year fixed loan — excludes taxes, insurance and HOA. Current rate: 7.28% (national weekly average, 2026-10-01). Model a full deal in the deal analyzer.

How much income do you need to buy a home in Nogales?

To buy Nogales’s $356,250 median listing with 20% down, a household needs about $92,000 a year in gross income, keeping principal, interest and property tax ($2,140/mo) at 28% of income. That is 1.7× the area’s $53,614 median household income, so a typical Nogales household cannot afford the median listing on these terms.

Income needed to buy the median home in Nogales, AZ — September 2026
ItemAmountBasis
Median listing price$356,250September 2026
Down payment (20%)$71,250Assumption
Principal & interest (7.28%, 30-yr fixed)$1,950/moRate as of 2026-10-01
Property tax (0.64% effective rate)$190/moCensus ACS
Income needed (28% rule)$92,000Gross household income / yr
Median household income$53,614Census ACS 2023 ACS 5-year

Excludes homeowners insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance, so the true income needed is higher. Compare every market in the income-needed ranking and the price-to-income ranking.

What is driving the Nogales housing market?

Longer-run demand in Nogales shows up in 353 homes permitted in 2025; net migration of -205 residents. Natural-hazard risk rates Relatively Moderate. These federal supply-pipeline, migration and jobs signals shape where prices head next.

Building permits (2025)
353
▲ 3.8% vs 2024
7.3 per 1,000 residents
Net migration (2022–2023)
-205
▼ people, via tax-return records
net income flow +$2.43M/yr
Natural-hazard risk
Relatively Moderate
National hazard index · top hazard: Riverine flooding

Based on public government records — building-permit, tax-return migration, employment and natural-hazard statistics, aggregated to the metro. Details on /methodology.

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Nogales housing market FAQ

What is the median home price in Nogales?
As of September 2026, the median listing price in Nogales, AZ is $356,250, down 1.0% year over year (source: public records and industry data). Figures cover the Nogales, AZ metro area.
How much does it cost to buy a home in Nogales?
The median home listed in Nogales asks $356,250 as of September 2026. With 20% down on a 30-year fixed loan at the current 7.28% national average rate, that runs about $1,950 a month in principal and interest, before taxes, insurance and HOA.
How fast are homes selling in Nogales?
The median property in Nogales spends 88 days on the market, with 284 homes actively listed and 17% of them carrying a price cut — a buyer's market as of September 2026.
Is it a buyer's or seller's market in Nogales?
With a median 88 days on market and 17% of active listings carrying a price cut, pending contracts at 20% of active listings, Nogales reads as a buyer's market as of September 2026. Labels use WealthyBud's published DOM / sale-to-list / price-cut / pending rule. Conditions shift monthly.
Is Nogales a good place to invest in real estate?
Nogales scores 26/100 on WealthyBud's Investor Score, ranking #874 of 933 covered U.S. metros as of September 2026. The score blends price momentum, value, rental yield, supply and market heat. It is a data-derived research opinion, not investment advice.
Who are the top real estate agents in Nogales?
See WealthyBud directories for the top-producing agents, teams and brokerages serving Nogales and the wider Arizona market, ranked by recent sales from public profile data.
Based on public records and industry data, September 2026 — see our methodology for how every figure is computed. Figures cover the Nogales, AZ metro area. Figures change monthly — verify current conditions with a local agent or MLS. Portions of market data courtesy of Realtor.com and Redfin; additional statistics from U.S. government sources.

More Arizona housing markets

Marcus Bell Real Estate Market Analyst

Marcus Bell leads market and career research at WealthyBud, turning public housing and labor data into plain-English answers for investors and agents. He focuses on U.S. metro housing markets, agent economics and licensing.

Editorial persona: WealthyBud bylines are editorial personas, not real individuals. Pages are produced by the WealthyBud research team from the public data cited on each page.