| Metric | Latest | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Median listing price | $507,950 | +1.1% YoY |
| Median price per sq ft | $302 | 1,703 sq ft median |
| Median days on market | 46 | -15% YoY |
| Active listings | 874 | -1% YoY |
| New listings this month | 426 | September 2026 |
| Listings with a price cut | 19% | Share of active |
| Median sale price (closed) | $491,000 | +4.5% YoY · closed sales, July 2026 |
| Sale-to-list ratio | 99.4% | Closed sales, July 2026, seasonally adjusted |
| Pending-to-active ratio | 46.7% | 409 pending |
| Inventory vs 2019 | 97% | Active listings vs same month in 2019 |
| Gross rental yield | 4.2% | 2BR fair market rent |
Metropolitan market · California · September 2026 data
What is the Modesto, CA real estate market doing?
As of September 2026, the median home listed in Modesto, CA asks $507,950, up 1.1% year over year. Homes spend a median of 46 days on market, with 874 active listings and 19% carrying a price cut; pending contracts equal 47% of active listings, and inventory sits at 97% of the same month in 2019 — a balanced market. Estimated gross rental yield on the median listing is 4.2%. Figures come from public records and industry data, updated monthly.
Median listing price
$507,950
▲ 1.1% YoY
Median $ / sq ft
$302
1,703 sq ft median
Median days on market
46
September 2026
Active listings
874
For sale now
New listings
426
September 2026
Listings with price cuts
19%
Share of active
Inventory vs 2019
97%
Same month, 2019 = 100
Pending / active
47%
Contract activity
Median sale price (closed)
$491,000
▲ 4.5% YoY · closed sales · July 2026
Sale-to-list ratio
99.4%
Closed sales · July 2026, seasonally adjusted
Homes sold / month
334
Closed sales · July 2026, seasonally adjusted
What is the Modesto, CA housing market doing right now?
The Modesto, CA housing market lists at a $507,950 median as of September 2026, up 1.1% year over year, with a 46-day median market time and 874 homes for sale (19% with a price cut). Active inventory is 97% of the 2019 level, reading as a balanced market under WealthyBud's published buyer/seller rule. Gross rental yield is about 4.2%.
Modesto housing market statistics
The table summarizes Modesto's key housing figures for September 2026 — median listing and closed-sale prices, market pace, inventory and rental yield — each computed from public records and industry data. Closed-sale figures are Redfin's July 2026 data, the latest settled month Redfin reports for Modesto.
How have home prices changed in Modesto?
Modesto home prices are up 1.1% year over year and -0.5% month over month as of September 2026, at a $507,950 median listing price. The chart tracks the trailing eight-quarter trend in the metro's median asking price.
Median listing price, Modesto CA · trailing 8 quarters · source: public records and industry data.
The 10-year view
10-year median listing price, Modesto CA · June of each year, 2017–2026 · source: public records and industry data.
How much inventory is on the market in Modesto?
Modesto has 874 active listings, 426 new this month, 409 pending as of September 2026. About 19% of active listings have cut their price, and inventory sits at 97% of its 2019 level — a balanced market by pace.
Is Modesto a good real estate investment?
Modesto scores 51/100 on WealthyBud's composite Investor Score, ranking #436 of 933 covered U.S. metros as of September 2026. The score blends price momentum, value, rental yield, supply and market heat into one percentile. It is a research opinion, not advice.
Investor Score
51/100
#436 of 933 covered metros
Price volatility
High
σ 13.7% · 20-yr price-index swings
Modesto scores 51/100 on our composite Investor Score (#436 of 933 covered metros), a percentile blend of momentum, value, rental yield, supply and market-heat readings; the metro's long-run house price index has it up 33% over five years and +93% over ten, leaving prices 74% above its own 2000–2019 trend; at the published FY2026 fair market rent of $1,758/mo for a two-bedroom, the gross rental yield on the median listing is about 4.2%; active inventory sits at 97% of its June 2019 level, so supply is still below pre-pandemic norms; listing prices are up 1.1% year over year; all against a national 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 7.28% (national weekly average, 2026-10-01).
Scores are percentile ranks (0–100) across all covered U.S. metros, computed from the public data cited on this page — formulas here. They are data-derived opinions, not investment advice. See how Modesto ranks on the trending markets index.
How much is a monthly mortgage payment in Modesto?
A home at Modesto's $507,950 median listing runs about $2,780 a month in principal and interest — 20% down on a 30-year fixed loan at the current 7.28% national average rate. Taxes, insurance and HOA are extra.
If rates fall 1% · 6.28%
$2,510/mo
−$270/mo vs today
At today's rate · 7.28%
$2,780/mo
National weekly average
If rates rise 1% · 8.28%
$3,061/mo
+$281/mo vs today
Principal & interest on the $507,950 median listing with 20% down and a 30-year fixed loan — excludes taxes, insurance and HOA. Current rate: 7.28% (national weekly average, 2026-10-01). Model a full deal in the deal analyzer.
How much income do you need to buy a home in Modesto?
To buy Modesto’s $507,950 median listing with 20% down, a household needs about $132,000 a year in gross income, keeping principal, interest and property tax ($3,081/mo) at 28% of income. That is 1.7× the area’s $79,661 median household income, so a typical Modesto household cannot afford the median listing on these terms.
| Item | Amount | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Median listing price | $507,950 | September 2026 |
| Down payment (20%) | $101,590 | Assumption |
| Principal & interest (7.28%, 30-yr fixed) | $2,780/mo | Rate as of 2026-10-01 |
| Property tax (0.71% effective rate) | $301/mo | Census ACS |
| Income needed (28% rule) | $132,000 | Gross household income / yr |
| Median household income | $79,661 | Census ACS 2023 ACS 5-year |
Excludes homeowners insurance, HOA dues and mortgage insurance, so the true income needed is higher. Compare every market in the income-needed ranking and the price-to-income ranking.
What is driving the Modesto housing market?
Longer-run demand in Modesto shows up in 1,057 homes permitted in 2025; net migration of -1,126 residents; -0.2% job growth. Natural-hazard risk rates Relatively High. These federal supply-pipeline, migration and jobs signals shape where prices head next.
Building permits (2025)
1,057
▲ 14.5% vs 2024
1.9 per 1,000 residents
Net migration (2022–2023)
-1,126
▼ people, via tax-return records
net income flow −$75.9M/yr
Job growth (YoY)
-0.2%
▼ 192.1k nonfarm jobs · August 2026
Natural-hazard risk
Relatively High
National hazard index · top hazard: Riverine flooding
Based on public government records — building-permit, tax-return migration, employment and natural-hazard statistics, aggregated to the metro. Details on /methodology.
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ReadModesto housing market FAQ
What is the median home price in Modesto?
As of September 2026, the median listing price in Modesto, CA is $507,950, up 1.1% year over year (source: public records and industry data). Figures cover the Modesto, CA metro area.
How much does it cost to buy a home in Modesto?
The median home listed in Modesto asks $507,950 as of September 2026. With 20% down on a 30-year fixed loan at the current 7.28% national average rate, that runs about $2,780 a month in principal and interest, before taxes, insurance and HOA.
How fast are homes selling in Modesto?
The median property in Modesto spends 46 days on the market, with 874 homes actively listed and 19% of them carrying a price cut — a balanced market as of September 2026.
Is it a buyer's or seller's market in Modesto?
With a median 46 days on market and 19% of active listings carrying a price cut, pending contracts at 47% of active listings, Modesto reads as a balanced market as of September 2026. Labels use WealthyBud's published DOM / sale-to-list / price-cut / pending rule. Conditions shift monthly.
Is Modesto a good place to invest in real estate?
Modesto scores 51/100 on WealthyBud's Investor Score, ranking #436 of 933 covered U.S. metros as of September 2026. The score blends price momentum, value, rental yield, supply and market heat. It is a data-derived research opinion, not investment advice.
Who are the top real estate agents in Modesto?
See WealthyBud directories for the top-producing agents, teams and brokerages serving Modesto and the wider California market, ranked by recent sales from public profile data.
Based on public records and industry data, September 2026 — see our methodology for how every figure is computed. Figures cover the Modesto, CA metro area. Figures change monthly — verify current conditions with a local agent or MLS. Portions of market data courtesy of Realtor.com and Redfin; additional statistics from U.S. government sources.
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