Metropolitan market · California · June 2026 data

Modesto Real Estate Market

The Modesto, CA housing market as of June 2026 — real median listing price, market pace, inventory and supply, from public records and industry data. Prepare a client-ready Modesto report in a click.

Median listing price
$522,500
▲ 1.5% YoY
Median $ / sq ft
$305
1,776 sq ft median
Median days on market
44
June 2026
Active listings
742
For sale now
New listings
434
June 2026
Listings with price cuts
16%
Share of active
Median sale price (closed)
$482,900
▼ 3.4% YoY · closed sales
Sale-to-list ratio
99.4%
Closed sales
Homes sold / month
333
Closed sales
Median listing price trend
$529K$522K$516K$509K Q3'24Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26

Median listing price, Modesto CA · trailing 8 quarters · source: public records and industry data.

The 10-year view
$532K$483K$433K$384K '17'18'19'20'21'22'23'24'25'26

10-year median listing price, Modesto CA · June of each year, 2017–2026 · source: public records and industry data.

Supply snapshot
Active listings
742
New this month
434
Pending
453
Price-reduced
116

As of June 2026, the median home listed in Modesto, CA asks $522,500 — up 1.5% from a year ago. Homes are taking a median of 44 days to go under contract, and 16% of the 742 active listings have taken a price cut, which points to a seller-leaning market. Figures cover the Modesto, CA metro area. Based on public records and industry data, updated monthly.

Investment snapshot
Investor Score
53/100
#393 of 932 covered metros
12-month outlook
+0.2%
Flat · model output, not advice
Price volatility
High
σ 13.7% · 20-yr price-index swings
Momentum
64
Value
21
Rental yield
56
Supply risk
50
Market heat
76

Modesto scores 53/100 on our composite Investor Score (#393 of 932 covered metros), a percentile blend of momentum, value, rental yield, supply and market-heat readings; the metro's long-run house price index has it up 33% over five years and +93% over ten, leaving prices 74% above its own 2000–2019 trend; at the published FY2026 fair market rent of $1,758/mo for a two-bedroom, the gross rental yield on the median listing is about 4.0%; active inventory sits at 84% of its June 2019 level, so supply is still below pre-pandemic norms; listing prices are up 1.5% year over year; all against a national 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 6.43% (national weekly average, 2026-07-02).

Scores are percentile ranks (0–100) across all covered U.S. metros, computed from the public data cited on this page — formulas here. They are data-derived opinions, not investment advice. See how Modesto ranks on the trending markets index.

What mortgage rates do to the payment
If rates fall 1% · 5.43%
$2,355/mo
−$268/mo vs today
At today's rate · 6.43%
$2,623/mo
National weekly average
If rates rise 1% · 7.43%
$2,903/mo
+$280/mo vs today

Principal & interest on the $522,500 median listing with 20% down and a 30-year fixed loan — excludes taxes, insurance and HOA. Current rate: 6.43% (national weekly average, 2026-07-02). Model a full deal in the deal analyzer.

Growth, supply pipeline & risk
Building permits (2025)
1,057
▲ 14.5% vs 2024
1.9 per 1,000 residents
Net migration (2022–2023)
-1,126
▼ people, via tax-return records
net income flow −$75.9M/yr
Job growth (YoY)
+0.8%
▲ 191.9k nonfarm jobs · May 2026
Natural-hazard risk
Relatively High
National hazard index · top hazard: Riverine flooding

Based on public government records — building-permit, tax-return migration, employment and natural-hazard statistics, aggregated to the metro. Details on /methodology.

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Modesto market FAQs

What is the median home price in Modesto?
As of June 2026, the median listing price in Modesto, CA is $522,500, up 1.5% year over year (source: public records and industry data). Figures cover the Modesto, CA metro area.
How fast are homes selling in Modesto?
The median property in Modesto spends 44 days on the market, with 742 homes actively listed and 16% of them carrying a price cut — a seller-leaning market by pace.
Who are the top real estate agents in Modesto?
See WealthyBud directories for the top-producing agents, teams and brokerages serving Modesto and the wider California market.
Based on public records and industry data, June 2026 — see our methodology for how every figure is computed. Figures cover the Modesto, CA metro area. Figures change monthly — verify current conditions with a local agent or MLS. Portions of market data courtesy of Realtor.com and Redfin; additional statistics from U.S. government sources.